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Category: List of Bases 2011 2011 ICTP Activities in Trieste ICTP Activities in Trieste
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lecture

Start Time:

5 September 2011 at 08:30

Ends On:

16 September 2011

Location:

Trieste - Italy

Venue:

AGH (Kastler Lecture Hall)

Organizer(s):

Directors: Erika Coppola, Adrian Tompkins, Soroosh Sorooshian, Andrew Challinor

Description:











Jointly with "QWeCI - 1st project workshop 14-16 September 2011" and with a joint session on 14 September "Sectorial Seasonal to Decadal Prediction in Africa" in connection with the CLIVAR 14th session of the working group on seasonal to decadal prediction (WGSIP). The attendance of additional participants from developing countries to this school has been facilitated by financial support from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).



Severe weather and climate affect vulnerable communities through their impact on water resources, agriculture, energy and health. Currently in developing countries, weather observations and seasonal forecasts and climate-change projections are rarely converted to sector-specific projections. Impacts modelling, involving the use of dynamical or statistical models to convert climate information into sector-relevant guidance, is a relatively new but fast growing and important research field.

To aid scientists in developing countries achieve a working knowledge of impacts modelling, this workshop proposes to provide lectures and laboratory classes on:
• The use and uncertainty of the main observational datasets available from remote sensing to drive impacts models.
• The use and uncertainty of short-range to seasonal forecast products and climate model data from major numerical weather prediction and climate centres including the IPCC assessment climate integrations.
• Impacts modelling in the three target sectors of agriculture, water and health including classes using open-source models in each sector.


Material:

no notes available

08:30
09:30
Registration / Administrative Formalities
01h00'
Susanne Henningsen - smr2262-Secretariat
5 September 2011
09:30
10:00
Welcome and overview of the school's objectives
30'
Tompkins/Coppola/Sorooshian/Challinor/Malone
ICTP, Un. of California, WMO
10:00
10:30
Introduction to crop yield modelling issues
30'
Andrew Challinor
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:30
Introduction to water resources impacts modelling
30'
Erika Coppola
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
11:30
12:00
Introduction to health issues
30'
Adrian Tompkins
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
12:00
14:00
Lunch Break
02h00'
5 September 2011
14:00
14:45
ECMWF forecast systems, spatial bias correction and the ERA reanalyses
45'
Francesca Di Giuseppe
ECMWF, United Kingdom
14:45
15:30
CORDEX Climate products for impacts research
45'
Filippo Giorgi
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:30
Pointwise bias correction techniques for model output
30'
Claudio Piani
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
16:30
17:00
Comparison of high resolution satellite rainfall products over Africa
30'
Vera Thiemig
JRC, Ispra, Italy
17:00
17:30
Satellite retrieval of rainfall and the new TAMSAT timeseries and climatology for Africa
30'
David Grimes
University of Reading, United Kingdom
6 September 2011
09:00
09:45
Climate change, agriculture and food security
45'
Andrew Challinor
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
09:45
10:30
Quantifying and managing uncertainty in crop and climate models
45'
James Watson
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:30
Climate Indices in Sectoral Applications
30'
Leslie Malone
WMO, Geneva, Switzerland
11:30
12:30
An introduction to GLAM
01h00'
Andrew Challinor
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Lab Class in GLAM I
01h30'
Andrew Challinor + team
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:30
Lab Class in GLAM I
01h30'
Andrew Challinor + team
University of Leeds, United Kingdom
19:00
21:30
ICE-BREAKER
02h30'
7 September 2011
09:00
09:45
Application and Use of Phenology Models for Agricultural Pests Managements
45'
Henri Tonnang
CGIAR, Kenya /
09:45
10:30
Wheat yield modelling in China in a dynamic crop model with a new treatment of waterlogging
45'
Sanai Li, Adrian Tompkins
ICTP, Trieste, Italay
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
12:30
Participant Poster Session
01h30'
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Pest modelling Lab class
01h30'
Henri Tonnang
CGIAR, Kenya /
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:30
Lab classes in GLAM and Pests (cont)
01h30'
H. Tonnang / A. Challinor + team
CGIAR, Kenya / University of Leeds, United Kingdom
8 September 2011
09:00
09:45
Hydrological modelling requirements for Water Resources Applications I
45'
Soroosh Sorooshian
University of California, Irvine, USA
09:45
10:30
Hydrological modelling requirements for Water Resources Applications II
45'
Soroosh Sorooshian
University of California, Irvine, USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Hydrological modelling at ICTP. Western African case study
45'
Laura Mariotti/Erika Coppola/ Marco Verdecchia
ICTP, Trieste, Italy, University of L'Aquila, Italy
11:45
12:30
Towards a pan-African flood alert system
45'
Vera Thiemig
JRC, Ispra, Italy
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Lab Class in water resources
01h30'
Laura Mariotti, Marco Verdecchia
ICTP, University of L\'Aquila
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:30
Lab classes in water resources (cont)
01h30'
Laura Mariotti, Marco Verdecchia
ICTP, University of L\'Aquila
9 September 2011
09:00
09:45
The Parameterization of Hydrological Processes in Earth System Models
45'
James Famiglietti
University of California, Irvine, USA
09:45
10:30
Calibration & parameter estimation requirements of hydrologic models
45'
Soroosh Sorooshian
University of California, Irvine, USA
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Modeling of the response of rivers to global change
45'
Erika Coppola
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
11:45
12:30
Terrestrial and Global Hydrology from GRACE
45'
James Famiglietti
University of California, Irvine , USA
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Lab Class in water resources: UCI-UNESCO G-WADI Realtime rainfall demo
01h30'
Hamed Ashouri
University of California, Irvine, USA
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:30
Lab classes in water resources (cont)
01h30'
Laura Mariotti, Marco Verdecchia
ICTP, University of L\'Aquila
12 September 2011
09:00
09:45
The use of climate models for disease risk : The QWeCI project
45'
Andy Morse
University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
09:45
10:30
Statistical modelling of vector borne disease: a case study of dengue fever in Brazil
45'
Rachel Lowe
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
VECTRI: a new community dynamical disease model for malaria that accounts for population
45'
Adrian Tompkins
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
11:45
12:30
Lab Class in statistical disease modelling using R
45'
R. Lowe and C. Piani
ICTP,Trieste, Italay
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Lab Class in statistical disease modelling using R
01h30'
R. Lowe and C. Piani
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
16:30
REMOTE TALK - Integrated Surveillance and Control System for Malaria in Colombia
30'
Daniel Ruiz Carrascal
IRI, Columbia Un. NY, USA
16:30
17:15
Lab classes (cont)
45'
R. Lowe and C. Piani
ICTP, Trieste, Italy
13 September 2011
09:00
09:45
The Liverpool malaria model and its application in Africa
45'
Cyril Caminade / Andy Morse
University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
09:45
10:30
Enhancements to the LMM and its application to determine malaria risk change due to changing climate
45'
Volker Ermert
University of Cologne, Germany
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:45
Records of long-term climate variations in eastern Africa
45'
David Taylor
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
11:45
12:30
Relating climate information to meningitis incidence in sub-Saharan Africa: The impact of scale
45'
Michelle Stanton
University of Lancaster, United Kingdom
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
15:30
Lab Class in dynamical disease modelling using the LMM
01h30'
Cyril Caminade, Volker Ermert, Andy Heath
Un. Of Liverpool, Un. Of Cologne,
15:30
16:00
Coffee Break
30'
16:00
17:30
Lab classes (cont)
01h30'
Cyril Caminade, Volker Ermert, Andy Heath
Un. Of Liverpool, Un. Of Cologne,
20:00
22:30
Joint Social event - Dinner at the Castle San Giusto, Trieste
02h30'
14 September 2011
09:00
10:30
STUDENT PROJECTS - POSTER PRESENTATIONS
01h30'
10:30
11:00
Coffee Break
30'
11:00
11:30
State of the art of seasonal to decadal Prediction
30'
Adam Scaife
Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
11:30
12:00
IRI Sectoral Activities and Associated Climate Research in Africa
30'
David DeWitt
IRI, Columbia Un. NY, USA
12:00
12:30
REMOTE TALK - Operational Seasonal Forecast System Development in South Africa
30'
Willem Landman
CSIR NRE, South Africa
12:30
14:00
Lunch Break
01h30'
14:00
14:30
Decadal climate forecasting: an introduction and an illustration for West Africa
30'
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes and Javier García-Serrano
IC3, Spain
14:30
15:00
Climate change and health in the developing world
30'
David Taylor
Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
15:00
15:30
Coffee Break
30'
15:30
16:00
Systematic rainfall biases in ECMWF system 3 seasonal forecasting system over West Africa
30'
Adrian Tompkins/ Laura Feudale
ICTP, Trieste, Italy / OSMER/ARPA, Italy
16:00
16:30
The NEW ECMWF system 4 seasonal forecasting system
30'
Franco Molteni
ECMWF, United Kingdom
16:30
17:00
A BIAS CORRECTION METHOD FOR SEAMLESS PRECIPITATION FORECASTS
30'
Francesca Di Giuseppe
ECMWF, United Kingdom
17:00
17:30
RegCM downscaled seasonal forecasts: A case study from Eastern Africa and preliminary results for QWeCI target regions
30'
Gulilat Tefera-Diro / Adrian Tompkins
ICTP, Italy
15 September 2011
09:00
17:00
08h00'


Students working on Impacts Projects
Kastler Lecture Hall and Info Lab, all day
QWeCI Project Science meeting parallel
Denardo Lecture Hall, all day
16 September 2011
09:00
17:00
08h00'


QWeCI Project Science Meeting parallel
Denardo Lecture Hall, all day
Student Presentations of Impacts Projects
Kastler Lecture Hall and Info Lab, 9 - 12 am
12:00
12:30
Summer School Closing Ceremony
30'
Kastler Lecture Hall, Distribution certificates of attendance
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http://cdsagenda5.ictp.trieste.it/full_display.php?ida=a10167

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